The Hero opens with a raise to $14 holding K :heart: J :club: in the CO. The BTN folds, the SB calls, and the BB folds. My understudy depicts the CO as free and aloof, so his range for calling here is most likely a lot more extensive than we’d hope to see from a superior player.
The lemon comes J :spade: 2 :spade: K :club:, giving Hero top two sets. SB checks, Hero wagers $22 into a $32 pot, and SB calls.
The turn brings the Q :spade:, finishing some pelangipoker flush and straight draws and furthermore putting Hero behind KQ. SB checks, and Hero checks behind. Against a free and aloof player, I figure ut forth a defense for wagering here, yet a check has its focal points also.
The waterway is the 8 :club:, and now SB wagers $60 into a $76 pot. My understudy collapsed, however he imparted the hand to me since he was worried about collapsing such a solid hand in the wake of indicating so little quality.
What Are You So Afraid Of?
Players will once in a while state that their hand is “underrepresented” in a circumstance like this. All things considered, all Hero has done as such far is raise from late position, make a continuation wager, and after that check the turn. By what means would villain be able to anticipate that him should have a hand on a par with two-pair, and in this way would it say it isn’t exploitable to overlap such a solid hand improving than 2:1 pot chances?
The short answer is that indeed, this is an exploitable overlay. Game hypothetically ideal (GTO) play would expect Hero to call with about 70% of his range. However here, we are looking at collapsing a hand that is most likely in the best 10-15% of Hero’s range for getting to the waterway thusly. This is a major deviation from GTO play and subsequently possibly exploitable.